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Economics Development Analysis Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Semarang
ISSN : 22524560     EISSN : -     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
The journal scope is related to the research in developing countries such as development studies, poverty adequate, inequality, unemployment studies, behavioral economics, human development problems and many other issues. Economics Development Analysis Journal also publishes an articles related to the branch of development studies, such, industry economics, international trade, bank and financial institutions, agriculture economics, financial studies, digital economics, small and medium enterprises, tourism economics and many others. It also published the study of development policy such as monetary economics, public economics, macroeconomics, microeconomics, and economic policy. Therefore, this journal also received an articles related to spatial studies such as Urban, Regional, Development planning and Rural economics. Base on the scope, Economics Development Analysis Journal welcome a multi dicipline articles who related to the economics and development studies.
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Articles 12 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal" : 12 Documents clear
The Impact of Asian Games 2018 on Indonesian Economy Prasetyo, Epson; Ariutama, I Gede Agus; Saputra, Acwin Hendra
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.44666

Abstract

Organizing the 18th Asian Games 2018 in Indonesia, specifically in DKI Jakarta, South Sumatra, West Java, and Banten spent a large amount of state and regional budget (APBN and APBD), which was more than Rp10 trillion in the 2018 fiscal year. The government policy to host the mega event and expend a large amount of budget in terms of government consumption and investment was expected to have an impact on the Indonesian economy, both directly and indirectly. Thus, this study aims to identify the impact of government expenditure using the 2010 Input-Output table issued and updated by the Central Bureau of Statistics in July 2019 with 17 sectors. The study found that the multiplier effect on the economy is greater than government expenditure with the manufacturing sector being the most affected sector by government spending with a value of six point seven trillion rupiah. In addition to the multiplier effect, this study also calculates the estimated Value Added Tax of government spending. The result of the estimated Value Added Tax potential is one point sixty one trillion rupiah. It can be concluded that the Asian Games 2018 brought positive impact on economy and government revenue in the form of taxation.
Fiscal Illusion and Asymmetric Response of Regional Financial Performance Pentury, Marthen Anthon; Orisu, Lillyani Margaretha; Kareth, Martha A.C.
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.45475

Abstract

Purpose of this research is to prove whether there is a fiscal illusion in the regional financial performance of districts/cities in West Papua and to capture asymmetric response of regional spending. Period in this research from 2010-2019 in West Papua Province which consists of nine districts/cities considering the availability of data, data sources from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Ministry of Finance (KEMENKEU) Dependent variable is regional financial performance as measured by regional spending and independent variable consists of general allocation funds, special autonomy funds, regional gross domestic product, population, local taxes, local retribution and dummy variables. Analysis methods is panel data regression fixed effect approach, fiscal illusion detection refers to the model developed by Borcherding and Deacon, and response asymmetry refers to the Gennari and Messina model. Findings/Originality: Proving the existence of fiscal illusions and asymmetry responses in a panel data model, results show that there are fiscal illusions in the regional financial performance of districts/cities in West Papua Province as seen from the negative and significant correlation of regional spending with local taxes. There is an asymmetrical response to regional spending in increasing the balancing fund, seen from the negative and significant dummy variable value in the model.
Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University and Its Impact on Social Economy Setyadi, Sugeng; Desmawan, Deris; Syaifudin, Rizal; Widiastuti, Anita
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.42749

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to analize the impact of Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University (Untirta) as one of the State Universities in Banten to social economy impact which is proxied by human development index and economy growth in Serang City. Generally, there are two subtansial problems. First, the impact of the existence of the Untirta campus has not much impact to the human development index Serang City. Second, the relationship between educational sector and economic growth rate requires to further study. This research uses Ordinary Less Square regression and Input-Output Analysis. According to the results of several regression models, there are consistent influence of government investment and student graduated of Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University which lead to an increase in human development index of Serang City. Meanwhile, according to another regression model, investment has not significant influence to local economy growth. However, the student graduated of Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University has positive relationship and significant to influence the local economy growth. Furthermore, Input-Output Analysis is an equilibrium model, where Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University as services provide on the education sector. Education sector has ability to increase industrial growth upstream (backward linkage) and encourage the production of other sectors that use inputs from the education service sector.
The Impact of Asian Games 2018 on Indonesian Economy Prasetyo, Epson; Ariutama, I Gede Agus; Saputra, Acwin Hendra
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.44666

Abstract

Organizing the 18th Asian Games 2018 in Indonesia, specifically in DKI Jakarta, South Sumatra, West Java, and Banten spent a large amount of state and regional budget (APBN and APBD), which was more than Rp10 trillion in the 2018 fiscal year. The government policy to host the mega event and expend a large amount of budget in terms of government consumption and investment was expected to have an impact on the Indonesian economy, both directly and indirectly. Thus, this study aims to identify the impact of government expenditure using the 2010 Input-Output table issued and updated by the Central Bureau of Statistics in July 2019 with 17 sectors. The study found that the multiplier effect on the economy is greater than government expenditure with the manufacturing sector being the most affected sector by government spending with a value of six point seven trillion rupiah. In addition to the multiplier effect, this study also calculates the estimated Value Added Tax of government spending. The result of the estimated Value Added Tax potential is one point sixty one trillion rupiah. It can be concluded that the Asian Games 2018 brought positive impact on economy and government revenue in the form of taxation.
Fiscal Illusion and Asymmetric Response of Regional Financial Performance Pentury, Marthen Anthon; Orisu, Lillyani Margaretha; Kareth, Martha A.C.
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.45475

Abstract

Purpose of this research is to prove whether there is a fiscal illusion in the regional financial performance of districts/cities in West Papua and to capture asymmetric response of regional spending. Period in this research from 2010-2019 in West Papua Province which consists of nine districts/cities considering the availability of data, data sources from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Ministry of Finance (KEMENKEU) Dependent variable is regional financial performance as measured by regional spending and independent variable consists of general allocation funds, special autonomy funds, regional gross domestic product, population, local taxes, local retribution and dummy variables. Analysis methods is panel data regression fixed effect approach, fiscal illusion detection refers to the model developed by Borcherding and Deacon, and response asymmetry refers to the Gennari and Messina model. Findings/Originality: Proving the existence of fiscal illusions and asymmetry responses in a panel data model, results show that there are fiscal illusions in the regional financial performance of districts/cities in West Papua Province as seen from the negative and significant correlation of regional spending with local taxes. There is an asymmetrical response to regional spending in increasing the balancing fund, seen from the negative and significant dummy variable value in the model.
Determinants of Indonesian Trade Balance: A Vecm Analysis Approach Cristanto, Ferdian Adi; Bowo, Prasetyo Ari
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.45909

Abstract

The Trade Balance is one of the indicators used to see the condition of a country's economy, especially in the trade sector. The trade balance value will affect how the state of the national macroeconomic indicators. In addition, the trade balance is used as additional information in determining foreign trade policy. This study aims to analyze the factors that affect Indonesia's trade balance in 2010-2019. The variables used are investment, rupiah exchange rate, economic growth and trade balance. The method used in this research is VECM (Vector error correction model) analysis with time series data using Eviews 9.0 data processing software. The results show that (1) direct investment has a significant positive effect in the short and long term, (2) exchange rate has a significant negative effect in the long term. short and long term, and (3) economic growth has no significant effect in the short and long term on Indonesia's trade balance
Structural Break and The Period of Indonesia’s Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery Handayani, Fitri
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.46897

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 caused economic contraction of 2.07 percent in Indonesia. Knowing the similar economic conditions in the past period and how long is the period of Indonesia's economic recovery after the pandemic are important. Therefore, this study aims to determine the period of economic structural break that has occurred in Indonesia and to determine the period of economic recovery. The analytical method used is the Bai-Perron, cointegration test, and VECM. The variables used are economic growth, exports, and inflation. The results of this study indicate the occurrence of structural break periods in the Indonesian economy in 1989, 1998 and 2004. Furthermore, based on the long-term VECM equation, exports have a positive but insignificant effect on economic growth. In contrast, inflation has a significant negative impact on economic growth. By using the IRF, it showed that economic growth will achieve stability or recovery after the occurrence of shocks to economic growth itself within a period of 5 to 10 years. If there is a shock to exports, economic stability can be achieved in a period of 5 to 10 years. Meanwhile, if there is a shock to inflation, stability can be achieved in less than 5 years.
The Negative Externality of Mining Activities in Brown Canyon Furoida, Aini; Susilowati, Indah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.47256

Abstract

The negative impact of mining activites has resulted in environmental damage that reduces environmental functions. One of them is the brown cnyoan mining, whose mining operations have resulted in the loss of of clean water sources and disrupted public health. The research aims to analyse the negative externalities received bt the community and to estimate the economic losses of the community due to mining activites. The data source of this research is primart data with a sample of 50 families using the purposive sampling method. This research uses a mixed-method, which is a combination of qualitative data (indepth interview, descriptive and coding criteria) and quantitative data (resplacement cost and cost od illness). This research shows that the dominant-negative externalities felt by the community are mining nose, decrease water quality and air pollution. The estimated loss from the replacement cost approach is 5,662,500 IDR and the cost of illness approach 3,999,000 IDR, with an average loss per family each month od 192,030 IDR. This negative impact mining disrupts community efficiency because the negative impact is not taken into account by producers in determining mining production.
Influence of Farmer's Characteristics and Managerial Capacities on Rice Farmer's Welfare Sulistiawati, Rini; Kusrini, Novira; Imelda, Imelda
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v10i4.47408

Abstract

Kubu Raya is one of the largest rice-producing regency in West Kalimantan. However, unfortunately, the success of rice farmers in the area is not followed by an increase in the welfare of farmers because the strategy of increasing income is one of the indicators of welfare that is not used appropriately. This research aims to determine the influence of farmer's characteristics and managerial capacities on the rice farmer's welfare in Kubu Raya Regency. The research is in Kubu Raya Regency, considering that this location is one of the rice farming development regions in West Kalimantan. The data source contains primary and secondary data. The variables of research contain farmer's characteristics, managerial capacities, and farmer's welfare. The data analysis uses SEM (Structural Equation Model) analysis. The result of research indicates that the farmer's characteristics do not influence the farmer's welfare, while the managerial capacities influence the farmer's welfare. It means that farmers need to increase the cultivation technique ability, the management ability, the ability to improve the business, and the ability to adapt to increase their welfare
Policy of Sharia Bank Indonesia Based on Vector Autoregressive Model. Rachmawaty, Rachmawaty; Irnawati, Jeni; Zaerofi, Afif
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 10 No 4 (2021): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

There are two shocking conditions in Sharia Bank Indonesia during 2020-2021. The first is the impact of COVID-19, which responded by the implementation of National Economic Stimulus as Countercyclical Policy, and second is a merger of state-owned Sharia Commercial Banks into one Bank. The study aims to elaborate the Bank's performance post implementing those policies using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. The variables obtained have been treated as endogenous variables consisting of ROA, NPF, Operations Expenses/Operation Income - BOPO, FDR, NOM, ratio of Fixed Yield Portfolios to Floating Yield Portfolios, and the changing of policy with data period June 2014 to February 2021. The result shows that based on Impulse Response, Variance decomposition, and Granger Causality, the shock in policy will be responded to by Sharia Banking performance in a short time (not more than four months) except for variable Fixed Yield Portfolios to Floating Yield Portfolios. The variable Fixed Yield Portfolios to Floating Yield Portfolios has a relationship (Granger Causality) to NOM, Operational Cost/ Operational Income, ROA, and Policy.

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